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Why is Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) Stock down?

25 Jan, 2024:

Northrop Grumman Corp. (NOC) stock plummeted by 6.33% due to a critical program within the defense contractor. This decline in stock value has raised concerns among investors regarding the company's future prospects.

  • The B-21 Raider Bomber Woes: Northrop Grumman's latest financial results paint a challenging picture. The company reported a fourth-quarter loss of $1.45 per share, a stark deviation from Wall Street's expectations of a $5.80-per-share profit. The primary culprit behind this financial setback is a $1.56 billion charge attributed to the B-21 Raider bomber project, initially awarded to Northrop Grumman by the U.S. Air Force in 2015. This charge reflects the growing costs associated with the program.
  • Prospects for the B-21 Raider: Northrop Grumman's announcement that it is likely to incur losses on the first five batches of aircraft delivered under the fixed-price contract has added to the concerns. This contract was meant to cap the cost per plane at approximately $700 million. Even without this significant charge, the company's financial performance was mediocre, with lower interest and corporate charges offsetting weaknesses in its space and mission systems divisions.
  • Guidance and Industry Competition: Northrop Grumman has provided a guidance range for 2024, with earnings per share projected to fall between $24.45 and $24.85, accompanied by an operating margin of around 11%. While this guidance aligns with analysts' expectations, Northrop Grumman faces fierce competition within the industry. The company's book-to-bill ratio, a measure of future business bookings relative to current billings, stood at a decent 1.02. However, it lagged behind rival Lockheed Martin, which boasted a 1.24 book-to-bill ratio for the same period. This underscores the competitive landscape that Northrop Grumman is navigating, making its path forward uncertain.
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